Pyre wrote:
diosoth wrote:
It's too bad retailers don't really pay attention to what does sell though, because no doubt they'll jump all over the next "Arctic Destro" that gets offered.
Arctic Destro really shouldn't have been a peg warmer. That's a great figure. No one can predict what figures will sell and what ones wont. They have no way of knowing when planning out cases and retailers don't track each individual figure like that.
Not bothering to do the research isn't the same as having no way of knowing.
Assuming Hasbro doesn't want to spring for focus groups (and that they wouldn't know who to focus on anyway, because they refuse to admit adult collectors are a significant driver of the Joe brand), and assuming retailers can't or won't for some reason provide detailed sales breakdown (the technology certainly exists), the simplest thing for a Hasbro market researcher to do would be to look at eBay on any given weekend and see which figures are selling for the most out of past waves. Cross referencing that data over a span of several weeks with actual production, release and case pack out numbers for those waves would help paint a picture of which character types have sold well relative to others in the past.
But Hasbro wouldn't even need to go to eBay, as it has access to direct sales data from Hasbrotoyshop going back several years. It knows exactly what sold out and how fast and can probably even tell them how often folks have checked back to see if something is in stock. You can get an indication of interest if not flat out demand from that information.
With all of these numbers to crunch, it would really only take a nodding familiarity with the Joe mythos and character base to realize that -- unless the production numbers were wonky and resulted in a serious shortage of a particular figure (like machine gun/cash briefcase Destro) -- alternate environment or specialty versions of named/core characters do not generally sell as well as army builders.
Of course, Hasbro's market research probably consists more of eavesdropping on boards like this and seeing someone say "I'd buy a hundred of (insert troop type here)" based either on fan wish listing or reactions to early concept images, and that's why we end up with pegs full of Shock Troopers, Alley Vipers and Jungle Vipers during PoC after all those boastful fans got the four or so they were actually willing to pay for.
Arctic Destro was never going to sell more than two units max to any one collector, and that's the rare MoC completionist. I'm even willing to bet someone at Hasbro said that to someone higher up (and probably got placed on double secret probation for his trouble). But that wouldn't change anything, because Hasbro knows that any character featured in a recent movie will sell in truckloads, and the more different and outlandishly colored the alternate outfits (maroon and gray for a winter op?) the better.
Even if Hasbro had known arctic D wouldn't sell like gangbusters, that just means they would have underproduced him, making him impossible to find for those who did want him. Because Hasbro only has two speeds on production runs for individual figures: You either get a paltry few, making figures impossible to find on pegs, or a metric arse-load, making them the only figures you find on pegs.